Why run away from health care?
Monday, October 04, 2010
I have repeatedly said that the components of the health care reform bill are more popular than the rhetoric of the whole.
For decades Democrats have run successfully in support of many of the components of the health care bill. So, why is it any different now that they can claim success? I think Democrats ignore the issue at their own peril and essentially wave the white flag. E.J. Dionne, agrees and points out that some Democrats are now running on the components of health care, many of which just kicked in. I predict those who don't hide from their vote will be the most successful in November and those who do will be tossed out.
We will see.
ALSO: FiveThirtyEight's analysis of this issue is here.
5 comments:
This is key, Bob. A lot of these Congressional races will be decided by the Dems who do NOT distance themselves from the good things they've done that we elected them to do. If they chicken out, they will be voted out.
Smitty, I think you have too much faith in the typical voter. I have no doubt that thoughtful, intelligent Dems will stick with people that supported key issues and didn't "chicken out". The problem is the average voters, IMO, have the attention span of a 5 year old with AD/HD and a very short memory.
They will see an economy that is still struggling, record forclosures, and a variety of other problems that unfortunately will still take a while to fix. This kind of environment seems to foster the desire for change that will hurt some of the Democrats and their chances of holding on to power.
As for health care, I think Mr. Dionne also assumes the average voter is smarter than they are. Most everyone has seen health coverage go down and premiums go up. They can be scared into thinking that the reforms will make this worse. While I completely support reform (heck, I am in favor of universal coverage), I will admit that the cost does scare me to some degree.
They will see an economy that is still struggling, record forclosures, and a variety of other problems that unfortunately will still take a while to fix. This kind of environment seems to foster the desire for change that will hurt some of the Democrats and their chances of holding on to power.
Isn't this exactly how the Dems gained power in 2008? Heck, that's why I voted the way I did. The current regime at the time was screwing everything up so people wanted change.
You don't need fancy analysis to point out that if things aren't going well that voters will vote the [current] bums out.
I feel pretty confident in declaring that most of the Democratic bloodshed will be among the Blue Dogs and Dems who try to pretend they're Republicans.
That I can say a great study which said that drinking does not make our baby it just make them more smarter. Then all will start doing this.
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